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Should You Buy First or Sell First? A Case Study Based on Current Calgary Market Activity

One of the biggest decisions homeowners face is whether to buy their next home before selling their current one. The right answer depends heavily on your financial comfort level, because timing directly affects how much pressure you face and how strongly you can negotiate.

This case study uses current Calgary market data, including 100 real listings with quick-possession timelines, to show how urgency affects sale prices.


If You Are Financially Able to Buy First

Buying before selling can offer several benefits:

• Convenience. Move on your own schedule.
• Less stress. No pressure to rush your home search.
• Flexibility. Time to renovate or prepare your new home before moving in.
• Smoother transition. No need for temporary housing or double moves.

However, there are important considerations:

• Your current home will continue to incur monthly expenses.
• You will continue paying utilities, taxes, insurance, and maintenance on the existing property.
• If your home takes longer to sell, timelines can become tight, which reduces negotiation strength.

Buying first makes the most sense if you are comfortable carrying your existing housing costs for as long as needed.


If Covering Your Current Home’s Costs Longer Is Not Comfortable

This is where many homeowners experience stress. Once you buy your next home and conditions start to firm, a countdown begins on selling your current property. That time pressure often leads to quicker price reductions and decisions driven by urgency rather than strategy.

To see how this plays out, I analyzed 100 Calgary homes sold in the last 90 days that required 15-day or immediate possession. These listings were chosen because short possession timelines are one of the clearest signs of seller urgency.

Urgency often happens when:

• The home is vacant
• The seller is already committed to another home
• Financing timelines require a timely sale
• There are firm life or work deadlines
• The seller is prioritizing speed over holding out for full market value

Even when priced aggressively, urgency impacts results.


Snapshot of the 100 Listings Pulled

Below is the screenshot of the 100 homes analyzed. Each listing requested possession within 15 days or immediate availability. This lets us isolate situations where sellers were likely under financial or timeline pressure.


What the Data Shows: Urgent Sellers Net Less Money

From the 100 urgent listings reviewed:

Urgent SP/LP average: 94.92 percent
Calgary market average: 97.66 percent

That is nearly a 3 percent difference.

Dollar Breakdown

On a 600,000 dollar home:

• Market average: 585,960 dollars
• Urgent seller: 569,520 dollars
Difference: 16,440 dollars lost

This loss often happens through small price reductions made under pressure.


Real Examples of Pricing History

Here are real Calgary examples showing how pricing adjustments occur for homes with short possession timelines.

What These Examples Show

Even well-priced homes often need further reductions as deadlines approach. This is consistent across the dataset: when urgency increases, leverage decreases, and the final sale price typically drops.


Why Selling First Protects Your Equity

Selling first gives you:

• Clear knowledge of your available equity
• Stronger offers on your next purchase
• Full control over timing
• Freedom from deadline pressure
• Decisions based on strategy instead of urgency

Buying first without financial breathing room can lead to:

• Reduced negotiation strength
• Becoming an urgent seller
• Accepting lower offers
• Additional carrying costs on your current home until it sells

Financial Example

If your current mortgage payment is 2,500 dollars per month and your home takes 3 months to sell, that is 7,500 dollars in ongoing costs.

Combine that with a potential price reduction of 20,000 to 30,000 dollars that urgent sellers commonly experience, and the total financial impact can reach:

27,500 to 37,500 dollars.

This is not about pushing one option over the other. It is simply the financial reality of how timing affects your outcome.


Ready to Plan Your Move? Let’s Talk About Your Situation

Every homeowner’s situation is different. If you’re thinking about moving and want to understand whether buying first or selling first makes the most sense, I’m happy to walk you through it.

I can show you what your personalized timeline could look like, explain your options clearly, and help you plan a move that protects your equity and reduces stress.

If you would like to chat about your situation or see a personalized timeline, feel free to REACH OUT any time.

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Calgary Real Estate Market Update – October 2025

Slower Growth in New Listings Helps Stabilize Supply

Calgary’s housing market showed signs of stabilization in October as new listings growth slowed and sales picked up slightly from September. The city recorded 1,885 sales and 6,471 active listings, bringing the months of supply back down to three and a half months, after reaching four months in September.

While row and apartment properties continue to experience elevated supply compared to demand, detached and semi-detached segments remain relatively balanced.

Year-to-date, Calgary has seen 20,082 sales, about 16% lower than last year, though still consistent with long-term market averages. Most of the slowdown has come from softer demand for apartment and row-style homes.

“Improved rental supply and easing rents have slowed ownership demand for apartment- and row-style homes,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB® Chief Economist. “Excess supply in these segments is weighing on prices more than in other property types.”

As of October, Calgary’s total residential benchmark price was $568,000, down 1% month-over-month and over 4% year-over-year. The largest price adjustments occurred in the row and apartment markets, with prices falling 6% and 7% respectively compared to last October. 

Detached Homes

Sales improved slightly to 1,012 units, while new listings fell to 1,593, helping reduce inventory to 2,913 units. With under three months of supply, detached homes remain balanced overall.

  • Benchmark price: $744,400 (↓ 1% YoY)

  • Price trends: Gains in the City Centre (+2%) offset declines in the North East (-5%)

  • Year-to-date: Prices remain 1% higher than last year

 Semi-Detached Homes

Sales rose to 186 units, while inventory held steady at 613 units. Conditions remain balanced with just over three months of supply.

  • Benchmark price: $683,100 (↑ 1% YoY)

  • Year-to-date: Prices are 3% higher than last year, led by the City Centre

 

Row Homes

Row sales totaled 275 units, while inventory climbed to a record 1,054 units, keeping months of supply around four months.

  • Benchmark price: $431,200 (↓ 6% YoY)

  • Year-to-date: Down 1.5%, with the largest declines in the North East and North districts

 Apartment Condominiums

A small pullback in new listings helped stabilize inventory, which remained high at 1,891 units. With nearly five months of supply, apartment condos remain in buyer’s market territory.

  • Benchmark price: $318,200 (↓ 7% YoY)

  • Year-to-date: Prices down 2%, led by declines in the North East and South East

 Regional Highlights

Airdrie – Record-high new listings kept inventory elevated at 535 units, with prices down 5% YoY to $520,400.

Cochrane – Sales improved and inventory stabilized. Prices held at $585,200, up 2% YoY.

Okotoks – Inventory rose modestly, but conditions remain relatively tight. Prices edged up to $618,600, stable year-over-year and 1% higher YTD.

 

Outlook

Calgary’s housing market continues to rebalance. While higher inventory in multi-family segments is softening prices, detached and semi-detached homes remain resilient thanks to steady demand. Unless sales slow further, conditions are expected to stay stable heading into the winter months, offering better selection for buyers and more realistic pricing across the board.

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Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.